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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: August 2017)

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FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
42.8°F at 99% 43.3°F at 98% 43.6°F at 97% 43.8°F at 96% 44°F at 95% 44.6°F at 90% 45.3°F at 80% 45.8°F at 70% 46.3°F at 60% 46.7°F at 50% 47.1°F at 40% 47.6°F at 30% 48.1°F at 20% 48.9°F at 10% 49.5°F at 5% 49.7°F at 4% 49.9°F at 3% 50.2°F at 2% 50.6°F at 1% 43.7°F at 99% 44.2°F at 98% 44.5°F at 97% 44.7°F at 96% 44.9°F at 95% 45.5°F at 90% 46.3°F at 80% 46.8°F at 70% 47.3°F at 60% 47.7°F at 50% 48.1°F at 40% 48.6°F at 30% 49.1°F at 20% 49.9°F at 10% 50.5°F at 5% 50.7°F at 4% 50.9°F at 3% 51.2°F at 2% 51.7°F at 1% 42.8°F at 99% 43.3°F at 98% 43.6°F at 97% 43.8°F at 96% 44°F at 95% 44.6°F at 90% 45.3°F at 80% 45.8°F at 70% 46.3°F at 60% 46.7°F at 50% 47.1°F at 40% 47.6°F at 30% 48.1°F at 20% 48.9°F at 10% 49.5°F at 5% 49.7°F at 4% 49.9°F at 3% 50.2°F at 2% 50.6°F at 1% 43.7°F at 99% 44.2°F at 98% 44.5°F at 97% 44.7°F at 96% 44.9°F at 95% 45.5°F at 90% 46.3°F at 80% 46.8°F at 70% 47.3°F at 60% 47.7°F at 50% 48.1°F at 40% 48.6°F at 30% 49.1°F at 20% 49.9°F at 10% 50.5°F at 5% 50.7°F at 4% 50.9°F at 3% 51.2°F at 2% 51.7°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
43.3 and 52.1 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1971-2000 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 16057
Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
Tel: (928) 556-9161
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Page last modified: 18-Dec-2014 9:25 PM
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