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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: May 2018)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
59.7°F at 99% 60.2°F at 98% 60.4°F at 97% 60.6°F at 96% 60.8°F at 95% 61.3°F at 90% 62°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 62.9°F at 60% 63.3°F at 50% 63.7°F at 40% 64.1°F at 30% 64.6°F at 20% 65.3°F at 10% 65.8°F at 5% 66°F at 4% 66.2°F at 3% 66.4°F at 2% 66.9°F at 1% 60.9°F at 99% 61.3°F at 98% 61.6°F at 97% 61.8°F at 96% 61.9°F at 95% 62.5°F at 90% 63.1°F at 80% 63.6°F at 70% 64°F at 60% 64.4°F at 50% 64.8°F at 40% 65.2°F at 30% 65.7°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 66.9°F at 5% 67°F at 4% 67.2°F at 3% 67.5°F at 2% 67.9°F at 1% 59.7°F at 99% 60.2°F at 98% 60.4°F at 97% 60.6°F at 96% 60.8°F at 95% 61.3°F at 90% 62°F at 80% 62.5°F at 70% 62.9°F at 60% 63.3°F at 50% 63.7°F at 40% 64.1°F at 30% 64.6°F at 20% 65.3°F at 10% 65.8°F at 5% 66°F at 4% 66.2°F at 3% 66.4°F at 2% 66.9°F at 1% 60.9°F at 99% 61.3°F at 98% 61.6°F at 97% 61.8°F at 96% 61.9°F at 95% 62.5°F at 90% 63.1°F at 80% 63.6°F at 70% 64°F at 60% 64.4°F at 50% 64.8°F at 40% 65.2°F at 30% 65.7°F at 20% 66.3°F at 10% 66.9°F at 5% 67°F at 4% 67.2°F at 3% 67.5°F at 2% 67.9°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
60.5 and 68.3 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1971-2000 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 16057
Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
Tel: (928) 556-9161
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Page last modified: 18-Dec-2014 9:25 PM
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