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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: April 2018)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
54.7°F at 99% 55.2°F at 98% 55.5°F at 97% 55.7°F at 96% 55.9°F at 95% 56.6°F at 90% 57.4°F at 80% 58°F at 70% 58.5°F at 60% 59°F at 50% 59.5°F at 40% 60°F at 30% 60.6°F at 20% 61.4°F at 10% 62.1°F at 5% 62.3°F at 4% 62.5°F at 3% 62.9°F at 2% 63.4°F at 1% 56°F at 99% 56.5°F at 98% 56.8°F at 97% 57.1°F at 96% 57.3°F at 95% 58°F at 90% 58.8°F at 80% 59.4°F at 70% 59.9°F at 60% 60.4°F at 50% 60.9°F at 40% 61.4°F at 30% 62°F at 20% 62.8°F at 10% 63.5°F at 5% 63.7°F at 4% 64°F at 3% 64.3°F at 2% 64.8°F at 1% 54.7°F at 99% 55.2°F at 98% 55.5°F at 97% 55.7°F at 96% 55.9°F at 95% 56.6°F at 90% 57.4°F at 80% 58°F at 70% 58.5°F at 60% 59°F at 50% 59.5°F at 40% 60°F at 30% 60.6°F at 20% 61.4°F at 10% 62.1°F at 5% 62.3°F at 4% 62.5°F at 3% 62.9°F at 2% 63.4°F at 1% 56°F at 99% 56.5°F at 98% 56.8°F at 97% 57.1°F at 96% 57.3°F at 95% 58°F at 90% 58.8°F at 80% 59.4°F at 70% 59.9°F at 60% 60.4°F at 50% 60.9°F at 40% 61.4°F at 30% 62°F at 20% 62.8°F at 10% 63.5°F at 5% 63.7°F at 4% 64°F at 3% 64.3°F at 2% 64.8°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
55.5 and 65.3 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1971-2000 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 16057
Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
Tel: (928) 556-9161
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Page last modified: 18-Dec-2014 9:25 PM
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