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Home > Climate > NWS Flagstaff > Climate Prediction > Local Temperature Outlook

Three-Month Temperature Outlook (Issued: September 2016)

National Outlook Local Outlook Background Information Questions and Feedback
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP, AZ
COCONINO County, Coop ID: 23010
Elevation: 7003 ft.
Latitude: 35° 8' N Longitude: 111° 39' W 		NOAA Online Weather Data Help

Probability of Exceedance Curve  
Probability of Exceedance Curve
33.8°F at 99% 34.2°F at 98% 34.5°F at 97% 34.7°F at 96% 34.9°F at 95% 35.4°F at 90% 36.1°F at 80% 36.6°F at 70% 37°F at 60% 37.5°F at 50% 37.9°F at 40% 38.3°F at 30% 38.8°F at 20% 39.5°F at 10% 40°F at 5% 40.2°F at 4% 40.4°F at 3% 40.7°F at 2% 41.1°F at 1% 34.8°F at 99% 35.2°F at 98% 35.5°F at 97% 35.7°F at 96% 35.9°F at 95% 36.4°F at 90% 37.2°F at 80% 37.7°F at 70% 38.1°F at 60% 38.5°F at 50% 38.9°F at 40% 39.3°F at 30% 39.8°F at 20% 40.6°F at 10% 41.1°F at 5% 41.3°F at 4% 41.5°F at 3% 41.8°F at 2% 42.2°F at 1% 33.8°F at 99% 34.2°F at 98% 34.5°F at 97% 34.7°F at 96% 34.9°F at 95% 35.4°F at 90% 36.1°F at 80% 36.6°F at 70% 37°F at 60% 37.5°F at 50% 37.9°F at 40% 38.3°F at 30% 38.8°F at 20% 39.5°F at 10% 40°F at 5% 40.2°F at 4% 40.4°F at 3% 40.7°F at 2% 41.1°F at 1% 34.8°F at 99% 35.2°F at 98% 35.5°F at 97% 35.7°F at 96% 35.9°F at 95% 36.4°F at 90% 37.2°F at 80% 37.7°F at 70% 38.1°F at 60% 38.5°F at 50% 38.9°F at 40% 39.3°F at 30% 39.8°F at 20% 40.6°F at 10% 41.1°F at 5% 41.3°F at 4% 41.5°F at 3% 41.8°F at 2% 42.2°F at 1%
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Customized Confidence Interval Worksheet

If you want to be
%
Confident
You may then expect the average temperature during this 3-month period to be between
34.4 and 42.6 °F

Note: If only one POE curve is shown, the forecast is equal to 1971-2000 observed.

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PoE Table
PoE Table 		Three Category Calendar
Three Category Calendar 		Temperature Range
Temperature Range
Flagstaff Weather Forecast Office
P.O. Box 16057
Bellemont, AZ 86015-6057
Tel: (928) 556-9161
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Page last modified: 18-Dec-2014 9:25 PM
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